Monetary Policy and Agricultural Gross Domestic Product Performance in Nigeria
Keywords:
Agriculture, Agricultural Credit, Exchange Rate, Monetary PoliciesAbstract
The present examines monetary policy and agricultural sector output exports in Nigeria
covering time series data from 1990-2025. The variables used are agricultural output exports, agricultural
credit guarantee scheme fund, exchange rate, commercial bank lending rate, monetary policy rate,
minimum rediscount ratio and open market operation. The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) multiple
regressions was used to estimate the parameters and the results revealed a positive and significant
relationship between AGF, EXR, OMO and agricultural output exports while a negative relationship exists
between CLR, MPR, MRR and agricultural output exports Only commercial bank lending rate appear to
be significant while others are insignificant. The study indicates that 68 % of the variation in ASE was
adequately explained by the variations in the included in the model as dependent variables. The study
concluded that AGF, CLR, ECR and OMO impacted on agricultural sector exports significantly within the
reviewed periods. The study recommended strict adherence to policy on agricultural credit guarantee
scheme, effective utilization of commercial bank’s credit loan to the agricultural sector and harmonization
of other monetary policies during periods.
References
[1]
[2]
[3]
[4]
[5]
[6]
[7]
[8]
H. A. Adefeso and H. I. Mobolaji, “The Fiscal-Monetary Policy and Economic Growth in Nigeria: Further
Empirical Evidence,” Pakistan Journal of Social Sciences, vol. 7, no. 2, pp. 137–142, 2010.
E. A. Udeaja and E. A. Udoh, “Effect of monetary policy on agricultural sector in Nigeria,” CBN Economic and
Financial Review, vol. 52, no. 2, pp. 33–74, 2014.
T. Apere and T. Karimo, “Monetary Policy Shocks and Agricultural Output Growth in Nigeria,” International
Journal of Economics, Agricultural and Food Sciences, 2015.
E. I. Ajudua, D. Ojima, and N. O. Okonkwo, “A review of monetary policy and the Nigerian agricultural sector
performance,” International Journal of Academic Research in Progressive Education and Development, vol. 4, no. 3, pp.
72–88, 2015.
O. T. Olajide, B. H. Akinlabi, and A. A. Tijani, “Agriculture Resource and economic growth in Nigeria,” European
Scientific Journal, vol. 8, no. 22, pp. 22–34, Oct. 2016.
M. A. Ajayi, N. K. Ibrahim, and C. S. Akolo, “Impact of Agricultural financing policy and Deposit Money Bank
loan on Agricultural Sector Productivity in Nigeria,” Amity Journal of Agribusiness, vol. 2, no. 1, 2017.
J. A. C. Ezihe, I. K. Agbugba, and C. Idang, “Effect of Climatic Change and Variability on Groundnut (Arachis
hypogea, L.) Production in Nigeria,” Bulgarian Journal of Agricultural Science, vol. 23, no. 6, pp. 906–914, 2017.
S. Kamil, S. Ugural, and V. B. Festus, “The Contribution of Agricultural Sector on Economic Growth of Nigeria,”
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, vol. 7, no. 1, 2017.
[9]Z. A. Wagan, Z. Chen, H. Seelro, and M. S. Shah, “Assessing the effect of monetary policy on agricultural growth
and food prices,” Agricultural Economics – Czech, vol. 64, no. 11, pp. 499–507, 2018.
[10] D. A. Ekine and L. I. Nwaokedibe, “Effect of Monetary Policy on Agricultural output in Nigeria (1981–2016),”
Journal of Agriculture and Veterinary Science (IOSRJAVS), 2018.
[11] V. U. Oboh, M. K. Tule, and G. U. Ebuh, “Does Monetary Policy matter for Agricultural Sector Performance?
Empirical Evidence from Nigeria,” Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, vol. 10, no. 12, pp. 203–211,
2019.
[12] C. Abuka, R. K. Alinda, C. Minoiu, J. Peydro, and A. F. Presbitero, “Monetary policy and bank lending in
developing countries: Loan applications, rates, and real effects,” Journal of Development Economics, vol. 13, no. 9,
pp. 185–202, 2019.
[13] C. Noufou, Y. M. Yapi, S. Kone, and Y. D. M. Kouassi, “Agricultural Raw Material and The Emergence of
Agricultural Food Industry in Cote d’Ivoire,” Research in Economics and Management, 2019.
[14] B. O. Olaniyan, “Rainfall variability and its impact on crop production in Niger State, Nigeria,” Badeggi Journal
of Agricultural Research and Environment, vol. 3, no. 2, pp. 46–55, 2021.
[15] G. O. A. Oluwatoyese, “Impact of agricultural output on economic growth in Nigeria: Application of numerical
prediction and econometric analysis,” Turkish Journal of Computer and Mathematics Education, vol. 12, no. 12, pp.
1793–1801, 2021.
[16] A. J. Abiola, F. A. Rotdelmwa, I. Maimako, H. Inegbedion, and P. Olabisi, “Monetary policy channels and
agricultural performance: Evidence from Nigeria,” Asian Economic and Financial Review, vol. 2, no. 4, pp. 12–26,
2021.
[17] Central Bank of Nigeria, Statistical Bulletin of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), 2021. [Online]. Available:
http://www.cbn.org/out/publications
[18] O. I. Adesiyan, K. A. Ojobo, and O. Adelaluk, “Effect of the Nigerian Monetary Policy: An Empirical
Investigation on the Nigerian Agricultural Output (2005–2020),” International Journal of Advances in Engineering
and Management (IJAEM), vol. 4, no. 11, pp. 23–39, 2022.
[19] C. E. Ogbanje and C. P. Okpe, “Monetary Policy and Agricultural Sector Performance in Nigeria: A Granger
Causality Approach,” International Journal of Economic Policy, vol. 2, no. 1, pp. 54–71, 2022.
[20] U. Aminu and E. Inusa, “Financial Inclusion and Agricultural Output Nexus in Nigeria: An Asymmetric
Approach,” Applied Journal of Economic Management and Social Sciences, vol. 3, no. 4, pp. 1–14, 2022.
[21] E. O. Elaigwu and C. L. Okpe, “Monetary Policy and Agricultural Sector Performance in Nigeria: A Granger
Causality Approach,” International Journal of Economic Policy, vol. 2, no. 1, 2022.
[22] A. Momoh, V. O. M. Isere, and A. Al-hassan, “Monetary policy and agricultural sector output in Nigeria,”
International Journal of Law, Politics & Humanities, vol. 27, no. 6, pp. 128–143, 2023.
[23] E. O. Ezekiah and E. Enabere, “Monetary policy and agricultural sector output in Nigeria,” International Journal
of Law, Politics and Humanities Research, vol. 3, no. 6, pp. 24–34, 2024.
[24] C. M. Okaforocha, C. N. Anumudu, I. U. Uwazie, and M. Sule, “Monetary Policy Effect on the Nigeria
Agricultural Sector Growth 1980–2020,” African Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities Research, vol. 7, no. 4,
2024.
[25] C. A. Confidence, C. Wosu, and D. Ameawhule, “Monetary policy and agricultural sector gross domestic
product performance in Nigeria,” European Journal of Business Startups and Open Society, vol. 5, no. 2, pp. 1–12,
2025.
[26] C. C. Agbeyeke and T. E. Chukwugoziem, “International Research Journal of Economics and Management
Studies,” vol. 4, no. 3, pp. 254–265, 2025.
[27] C. M. Okaforocha, C. P. Imoagwu, J. A. Omeje, and M. Sule, “Impact of government monetary policy on
agricultural sector growth in Nigeria,” International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, vol. 9, no.
15, pp. 534–541, 2025.
[28] National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), Poverty Profile in Nigeria 2010–2014. Abuja, Nigeria: NBS, 2014.
[29] Oxford University Press, Oxford English Dictionary. Oxford, U.K.: Oxford University Press. [Online]. Available:
[30] A. J. Aseleye, R. F. Maimako, A. I. Lawal, H. Inegbedion, and O. Popoola, “Monetary policy channels and
agricultural performance: Evidence from Nigeria,” Asian Economics and Financial Review, vol. 11, no. 3, 2021.
[31] O. A. ThankGod and M. K. Tamarauntari, “Monetary policy hocks and agricultural output growth in Nigeria,”
Journal of Economics and Finance, vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 45–58, 2015.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Web of Synergy: International Interdisciplinary Research Journal

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.




